“Illinois is experiencing a significant rise in communities at elevated risk levels for COVID-19, including 29 counties at a high risk,” said Dr. Sameer Vohra, director of the Illinois Department of Public Health. 

“These elevated COVID-19 community levels, along with rising flu levels, are leading to a surge of respiratory infections and increased hospitalizations.  I recommend all Illinoisians – and especially those most vulnerable including young children and individuals over 65 – take all preventative steps to protect themselves, their families and friends.

“Preventative measures include COVID-19 testing, especially if visiting someone at risk for severe disease; enhanced ventilation; good hand hygiene; staying home and seeking treatment if sick; and getting up to date with the COVID-19 bivalent booster and the flu shot,” Vohra said.

“A high-quality mask or respirator is also recommended and will protect you from COVID-19, the flu and other respiratory viruses. Our hope is for Illinoisians across our state to have a happy and healthy holiday season.”

Vohra stressed that those who test positive for COVID-19 should immediately contact their health care provider to discuss whether they need treatment with one of the effective antiviral medications, Paxlovid, Lagevrio and Remdesivir. All these antiviral drugs have been found to work against the current strains of the virus, said IDPH.

New COVID-19 Cases in Evanston and Illinois

In Illinois, the seven-day average of new cases was 3,461 on Dec. 15, up from 3,034 in the prior week, a 14% increase.

In Evanston, the seven-day average of new cases was 20.7 on Dec. 14, down from 21.7 in the prior week, a 4.6% decrease. The chart below, prepared by the City of Evanston, reflects the number of new cases of Evanstonians for the last 30 days and the seven-day moving average.

The number of new COVID-19 cases being publicly reported is grossly understated. [1]

Community risk rating

The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and IDPH look at a combination of three metrics to determine whether a community level of risk for COVID-19 is low, medium, or high. [2]

To be rated in the low category, an area must have less than 200 new COVID-19 cases per 100,000 population in the last seven days; have less than 10 new hospitalizations per 100,000 population due to COVID-19 in the last seven days; and have less than 10% of staffed inpatient beds occupied by COVID-19 patients (last seven-day average). 

On Dec. 15, the City of Evanston reported that it remained in the medium risk category. The data reported by the city was:

  • New cases per 100,000 population: 186
  • New hospital admissions due to COVID-19 per 100,000 population: 14.08
  • Percent of staffed inpatient beds in use by patients with COVID-19: 5.6

The city also provided the following information about the trend of hospitalizations at Evanston and St. Francis hospitals.

CDC reported this evening that Cook County stayed in the medium risk category. The data for Cook County was:

  • New cases per 100,000 population: 163
  • New hospital admissions due to COVID-19 per 100,000 population: 13.9
  • Percent of staffed inpatient beds in use by patients with COVID-19:  5.1

CDC recommended steps

The CDC recommends that people should take certain steps to minimize the risk of contracting COVID-19 and to reduce the spread of the virus. There are six steps that apply to all community risk levels, another two for people in medium and high community risk areas, and two more for people in high community risk areas. The steps are:

At all COVID-19 Community Levels:

When the COVID-19 Community Level is medium or high:

  • If you are at high risk of getting very sick, wear a well-fitting mask or respirator when indoors in public.
  • If you have household or social contact with someone at high risk for getting very sick, consider testing to detect infection before contact and consider wearing a mask when indoors with them.

When the COVID-19 Community Level is high:

  • Wear a well-fitting mask or respirator.
  • If you are at high risk of getting very sick, consider avoiding non-essential indoor activities in public where you could be exposed.

FOOTNOTES

1/ The number of new cases being publicly reported by the City of Evanston and the state are significantly lower than the actual number of new cases being contracted. The City of Evanston says the state and city do not have a mechanism to report, verify or track at home test results. Because a positive at home test is regarded as highly accurate, most people who test positive in an at home test do not get a second test outside the home that is reported to government officials. The number of new COVID-19 cases reported by IDPH and the city thus significantly understates the actual number of new cases that are contracted. Some studies estimate the cases are underestimated by about 750% or more.

2/ CDC and IDPH use three indicators to measure COVID-19 Community Levels: 1) new COVID-19 cases per 100,000 population in the last seven days; 2) new COVID-19 hospital admissions per 100,000 population in the last seven days; and 3) the percent of staffed inpatient beds occupied by patients with confirmed COVID-19 (seven-day average). 

The chart below illustrates how these indicators are combined to determine whether COVID-19 Community Levels are low, medium, or high. The CDC provides many recommendations depending on whether the COVID-19 Community Level is low, medium, or high. If the risk indicators relating to hospitalizations differ, the higher risk factor is used.

Larry Gavin

Larry Gavin was a co-founder of the Evanston RoundTable in 1998 and assisted in its conversion to a non-profit in 2021. He has received many journalism awards for his articles on education, housing and...

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